Posts Tagged ‘home sales’

It’s no secret that the current economic woes of this country (and much of the world) can be traced to the U.S. housing market – which is why updates about home sales are watched so closely by those looking for indicators about where the economy is headed.

The Department of Commerce recently announced that sales of residential buildings increased by a healthy 11% in June, a figure well above the 2.3% widely predicted.

Here are some hard facts:

  • New home sales in June increased 11% from May.
  • The month-to-month jump was the largest recorded in the past nine years.
  • Compared to June of 2008, sales fell 21.3%.
  • The South was the only region of the country in which home sales decreased (by 5%).
  • Existing home sales increased 3.6% in June, marking a third consecutive month of increases.

Tax Incentive Enticing Buyers

Analysts have suggested that the jumps can likely be attributed to a combination of low prices and interest rates and the one-time $8,000 tax credit available to first-time buyers who purchase before November of this year.

Home production has greatly slowed since the boom months and the number of new homes currently on the market is at its lowest level since 1998, according to sources.

Despite these figures, the market still has more than eight months’ worth of houses (if buying continues at its current rate).

That’s higher than the “ideal” six-month supply, but an improvement over May’s 10.2 months’ worth.

Competition Steep for New Homes

Sources indicate that part of the problem facing new home sales is the bargains available from foreclosure properties, short sales and sales of existing homes that have been on the market a while.

Put another way, even though last month’s numbers beat many expectations, a normal (not boom) year typically sees three times as many new home sales.

OK, let’s get the not-so-great news out of the way: The 2008 median home sales price dropped a record 15.3 percent compared to the 2007 median home sale price of $175,400, according to the National Association of Realtors.

In addition, 2008 existing home sales are down 13.1 percent at 4.75 million units sold, compared to the 5.67 million existing units sold in 2007.

In fact, 2008 was the lowest year for existing home sales since 1997, when only 4.37 million units were sold.

Phew, I know that wasn't fun to read, right?

Don't worry--we also have good news about the latest home-sale figures:

In December, existing home sales actually rose 6.5 percent from the previous month—to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 4.74 million units.

Decent number for the times, huh? Actually, it’s better than what many economists predicted (they expected a 4.4 million-unit annualized rate).

Also, in December 2008, home inventories were down 11.7 percent from November 2008, which could be good news for construction because inventories must be down in order for builders to consider boosting construction.

Let's hope for more positive numbers in 2009-- and, hopefully, less foreclosure and bankruptcy in the new year, too.